Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 21.707938 25.001500 28.550114 32.648499 37.241673 42.220801 48.016655
2025-10-12 16.943770 21.725167 27.348348 34.402428 42.963587 52.963218 65.468203
2025-10-19 13.541690 18.924113 25.707865 34.778326 46.467357 60.891867 79.888269
2025-10-26 11.160264 16.791860 24.318487 34.930056 49.290825 67.810446 93.216553
2025-11-02 9.218777 14.840847 22.764428 34.475180 51.017288 73.176726 104.652866
2025-11-09 7.678712 13.171013 21.302754 33.850747 52.273349 77.801155 115.189949
2025-11-16 6.427840 11.716045 19.920193 33.100701 53.153867 81.812074 124.963460
2025-11-23 5.297201 10.259486 18.322266 31.795392 53.009920 84.233268 132.492502
2025-11-30 4.829644 9.836556 18.286613 32.864748 56.460405 92.009990 148.100380
2025-12-07 4.432152 9.471171 18.286691 33.956901 59.977025 100.032490 164.435004
2025-12-14 3.813013 8.597726 17.308672 33.309102 60.625774 103.664012 174.272768
2025-12-21 3.253253 7.745695 16.258293 32.411489 60.751855 106.423728 182.830917
2025-12-28 3.118337 7.763781 16.857757 34.572764 66.338417 118.456423 207.000735
2026-01-04 2.932218 7.654109 17.219489 36.368388 71.486868 130.175114 231.460263
2026-01-11 2.613615 7.197331 16.845772 36.754827 74.182743 137.999361 250.030393
2026-01-18 2.315530 6.729916 16.384805 36.912617 76.451427 145.197327 267.889812
2026-01-25 2.004093 6.167280 15.646084 36.435441 77.489633 150.308561 282.465844
2026-02-01 1.723316 5.621890 14.866119 35.780592 78.115446 154.693767 295.969600
2026-02-08 1.473601 5.102689 14.068720 34.993940 78.401291 158.450759 308.517713
2026-02-15 1.225326 4.527535 13.054699 33.624648 77.411790 159.810561 316.881544
2026-02-22 1.145861 4.429968 13.173180 34.746448 81.481087 170.632860 342.489866
2026-03-01 1.073939 4.340496 13.299177 35.891909 85.664921 181.856093 369.268239
2026-03-08 0.925861 3.971618 12.660802 35.212522 85.998801 185.821643 383.008258